MegaKong is down $123K in realized results on Polymarket, with 5.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 2, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$123K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 5.6M
- Portfolio value
- $10K
- Profit this month
- +$654
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 65%
How MegaKong has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 129 (65%) ended in profit and 71 in a loss, for −$118K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $10K together, the biggest is “Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?” (Yes) at 59% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Portugal vs. France - Who will advance?
France · entry 61% · closed Jul 6, 2024
+$4,366
Will Manchester City win the FA Cup?
No · entry 18% · closed May 26, 2024
+$2,278
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 1, 2025
+$2,248
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
No · entry 70% · closed Sep 1, 2025
+$1,099
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Dec 8, 2025
+$907
UFC 303: Who will win - Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka?
Pereira · entry 59% · closed Jun 30, 2024
+$691
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?
No · entry 97% · closed Aug 24, 2025
+$510
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?
No · entry 93% · closed Sep 1, 2025
+$264
Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jul 26, 2024
+$248
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 40% · closed Aug 2, 2026
+$238
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?
France · entry 46% · closed Jul 10, 2024
−$36K
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Aug 14, 2024
−$20K
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$15K
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Aug 14, 2024
−$14K
Will France win the 2024 Euros?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jul 10, 2024
−$14K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$5,402
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 44% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$4,033
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jul 17, 2024
−$3,220
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 14% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$3,114
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Jul 30, 2024
−$2,530
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 52%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,031
+$2,217 P&L
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes · entry 48%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,521
+$1,247 P&L
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 36%, now 28% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,088
−$341 P&L
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 24%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$237
−$164 P&L
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 7%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$126
−$65 P&L
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 8%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$111
−$33 P&L
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 51%, now 45% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 26%, now 19% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 10%, now 6% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16
−$11 P&L
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 4%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14
−$19 P&L
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 8%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 24%, now 12% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 55%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Bought Yes at 4%
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
$0
Bought Yes at 4%
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
$0
Bought Yes at 4%
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
$1
Bought Yes at 6%
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
$2
Bought No at 51%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
$21
Bought No at 26%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
$23
Sold Yes at 5%
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
$1
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
$112
Bought No at 8%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
$10
Bought No at 10%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$27
Bought No at 24%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$13
Bought Yes at 45%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
$23
Bought Yes at 48%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
$19
Bought Yes at 48%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
$5
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.