randomlypunting
0xaec3…22df · Joined July 26, 2025
randomlypunting is down $87K in realized results on Polymarket, with 6.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$87K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 6.4M
- Portfolio value
- $44K
- Profit this month
- −$7,839
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 72%
How randomlypunting has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 143 (72%) ended in profit and 57 in a loss, for +$5,898 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 70%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $34K together, the biggest is “Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?” (No) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$15K
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$13K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 60% · closed May 1, 2026
+$13K
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Jul 31, 2025
+$10K
Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Mar 23, 2026
+$8,114
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Nov 13, 2025
+$6,753
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Dec 19, 2025
+$6,621
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$5,721
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Dec 11, 2025
+$3,673
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$3,188
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
No · entry 81% · closed Apr 25, 2026
−$62K
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Jan 2, 2026
−$29K
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$14K
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Dec 25, 2025
−$13K
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Nov 2, 2025
−$7,993
Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Mar 22, 2026
−$7,000
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$6,984
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$6,705
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$5,659
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$5,290
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
No · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,906
+$468 P&L
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No · entry 90%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,313
+$2 P&L
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 46%, now 32% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,154
−$1,339 P&L
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No · entry 66%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,641
+$489 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 44%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,263
+$1,275 P&L
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 83%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,715
+$36 P&L
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 14%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,402
−$731 P&L
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 95%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,395
−$127 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,208
+$23 P&L
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No · entry 79%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,162
+$214 P&L
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 51%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,141
+$400 P&L
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,038
+$38 P&L
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,020
+$20 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 65%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,008
+$8 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 66%, now 60% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$908
−$92 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 92%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?
Bought No at 88%
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Bought Yes at 83%
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Bought Yes at 89%
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?
Bought Yes at 78%
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?
Bought Yes at 75%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
Bought Yes at 72%
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?
Bought No at 97%
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 17%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 17%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 17%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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