iraa3 has made $7,085 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #19,613 all time by profit, with 1.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$7,085
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.5M
- Portfolio value
- $203K
- Profit this month
- −$3,478
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 82%
How iraa3 has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 162 (82%) ended in profit and 36 in a loss, for +$8,897 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 85%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $162K together, the biggest is “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?” (No) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 50% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$10K

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$3,002

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$995

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Sep 11, 2026
+$886

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$486

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$379

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$342

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Aug 28, 2026
+$250

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$222

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$207
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 19, 2026
−$10K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
No · entry 96% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$1,812

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$1,003

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 96% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$475

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 95% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$188

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$122

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 75% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$111

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$105

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes · entry 62% · closed May 12, 2026
−$99

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Jun 3, 2026
−$92
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
+$688 P&L

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$192 P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 44%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
−$1,817 P&L

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$35 P&L

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$40 P&L

US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
−$173 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$179 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 90%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,695
+$197 P&L

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 32%, now 18% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,608
−$6,006 P&L

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,104
+$31 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 20%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,040
+$44 P&L

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,921
+$25 P&L

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,903
+$32 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,717
+$27 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,642
−$39 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 27%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Sold No at 63%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Sold No at 63%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?

Sold No at >99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?

Bought No at 99%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Bought No at 99%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Bought No at 92%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.