tryingmyluckhere
0xac9b…d4c5 · Joined October 29, 2025
tryingmyluckhere has made $153K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,330 all time by profit, with 7.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$153K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.0M
- Portfolio value
- $46K
- Profit this month
- −$11K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 54%
How tryingmyluckhere has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 106 (54%) ended in profit and 92 in a loss, for +$140K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 38%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $41K together, the biggest is “Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?” (No) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 22% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$28K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed May 9, 2026
+$24K

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$20K

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
T1 · entry 52% · closed Nov 9, 2025
+$15K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$13K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$13K

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 17% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$13K

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Nov 9, 2025
+$9,396

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?
Down · entry 4% · closed Dec 18, 2025
+$8,975

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 62% · closed May 2, 2026
+$8,599
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$15K

Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$9,726

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Dec 4, 2025
−$9,016

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
No · entry 28% · closed Nov 8, 2025
−$8,623

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
No · entry 55% · closed May 2, 2026
−$7,796

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$6,918

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$6,867

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 27% · closed Mar 17, 2026
−$5,520

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
No · entry 23% · closed Nov 8, 2025
−$5,188

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 43% · closed May 2, 2026
−$4,571
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
No · entry 71%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$756 P&L

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 42%, now 44% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,792
+$290 P&L

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 77%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,200
+$350 P&L

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 59%, now 67% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,350
+$400 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 30%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,309
−$3,978 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 62%, now 39% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,123
−$1,297 P&L

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 27%, now 28% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,695
+$68 P&L

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
No · entry 55%, now 41% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,640
−$560 P&L

Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
No · entry 52%, now 66% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,290
+$268 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 66%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,225
−$2,075 P&L

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
No · entry 29%, now 28% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,135
−$20 P&L

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3%, now 4% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$893
+$121 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 4%, now 1% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$855
−$1,598 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 10%, now 7% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$770
−$470 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
No · entry 39%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$764
−$1,468 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 14%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?

Sold Yes at 2%
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 2%
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Bought T1 at 57%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Sold Yes at 6%
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?

Sold Yes at 2%
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 2%
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 65%
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 4%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Sold No at 57%
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 4%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Sold No at 65%
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 4%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 4%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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