HerrieDavis has made $343K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #607 all time by profit, with 35M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$343K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 35M
- Portfolio value
- $209K
- Profit this month
- −$48K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 57%
How HerrieDavis has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 113 (57%) ended in profit and 86 in a loss, for +$43K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 86 of the 199 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $80K together, the biggest is “Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?” (No) at 14% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$39K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$19K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry 21% · closed Sep 19, 2026
+$18K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$15K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$13K
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$13K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jun 27, 2026
+$13K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$13K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$12K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$12K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 10% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$32K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$19K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$18K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$11K
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$9,656
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 20, 2026
−$9,541
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry 95% · closed May 27, 2026
−$9,440
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
No · entry 96% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$9,249
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Aug 3, 2026
−$8,663
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$8,428
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 43%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$6,405 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 68%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,747
+$558 P&L
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No · entry 51%, now 90% · ends Jan 4, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,751
+$3,359 P&L
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 51%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,692
+$3,211 P&L
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,471
+$250 P&L
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,948
+$184 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No · entry 90%, now 95% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,788
+$238 P&L
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No · entry 83%, now 82% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$4,632
−$87 P&L
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 65%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,070
−$408 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 41%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,035
−$95 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No · entry 75%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,491
+$278 P&L
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No · entry 70%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,438
+$495 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry 71%, now >99% · ended Oct 23, 2026
$3,392
+$963 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 87% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,009
+$191 P&L
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,714
+$296 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 35%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought No at 59%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought No at 57%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought No at 83%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 86%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 88%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 91%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 47%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought No at 63%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 64%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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