Calm-Ikebana has made $85K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,283 all time by profit, with 2.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$85K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.6M
- Portfolio value
- $6,247
- Profit this month
- −$14K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 66%
How Calm-Ikebana has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 132 (66%) ended in profit and 68 in a loss, for −$21K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 74%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 198 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $6,247 together, the biggest is “Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” (Yes) at 47% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

ITF The Hague: Jakub Nicod vs Alejandro Juan Mano
Alejandro Juan Mano · entry 55% · closed Jul 11, 2026
+$10K

Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin Aguilar
Felipe Meligeni Alves · entry 24% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$7,618

Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova
Vendula Valdmannova · entry 52% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$6,257

Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan Manuel La Serna · entry 52% · closed Apr 3, 2026
+$5,674

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Marina Bassols Ribera
Marina Bassols Ribera · entry 47% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$5,425

US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane
Jaume Munar · entry 63% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$5,420

W75 Le Neubourg: Demi Tran vs Sachia Vickery
Demi Tran · entry 56% · closed Sep 15, 2026
+$4,720

ITF Dublin: Ammar Elamin vs Aaron Gabet
Ammar Elamin · entry 69% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$4,633

Cancun: Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
Felipe Meligeni Alves · entry 71% · closed Aug 19, 2026
+$4,092

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo · entry 54% · closed May 28, 2026
+$4,023
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Jack Pinnington Jones · entry 82% · closed Sep 10, 2026
−$13K

Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmane
Ugo Humbert · entry 73% · closed Apr 25, 2026
−$6,643

Quebec City: Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Daniel
Dusan Lajovic · entry 66% · closed Sep 10, 2026
−$5,199

Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldanius
Oskari Paldanius · entry 72% · closed Sep 10, 2026
−$4,561

Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang
Amelia Rajecki · entry 76% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$4,548

Palermo: Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski
Federico Arnaboldi · entry 72% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$4,276

Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov
Denis Shapovalov · entry 73% · closed Sep 10, 2026
−$4,056

Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royer
Valentin Royer · entry 75% · closed May 5, 2026
−$3,986

Parma: Barbora Krejcikova vs Viktorija Golubic
Viktorija Golubic · entry 53% · closed May 19, 2026
−$3,849

Brazzaville: Franco Ribero vs Matyas Cerny
Matyas Cerny · entry 78% · closed May 7, 2026
−$3,717
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 88%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,948
+$311 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 40%, now 67% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,902
+$1,168 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 30%, now 9% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$397
−$869 P&L
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Bought Mateo Del Pino at 82%
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Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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