novv25 is down $301K in realized results on Polymarket, with 6.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$301K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 6.9M
- Portfolio value
- $24K
- Profit this month
- −$13K
- Win rate (last 96 closed)
- 56%
How novv25 has traded
Across all 96 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 54 (56%) ended in profit and 42 in a loss, for −$72K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 14 largest open positions listed below, worth $24K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 42% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Nov 14, 2025
+$29K

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
No · entry 67% · closed Apr 2, 2026
+$25K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 78% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$15K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 36% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$12K

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
No · entry 41% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$11K

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Nov 18, 2025
+$11K

Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Nov 4, 2025
+$7,468

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 61% · closed May 8, 2026
+$6,953

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Nov 17, 2025
+$5,089

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 54% · closed May 12, 2026
+$3,944
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Sep 11, 2026
−$70K

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$43K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
No · entry 37% · closed Apr 25, 2026
−$27K

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$18K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
No · entry 48% · closed Apr 25, 2026
−$16K

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$15K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Oct 6, 2026
−$11K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
No · entry 37% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$7,651

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jun 24, 2026
−$4,016

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$3,981
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 15%, now 86% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,860
+$8,098 P&L

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Yes · entry 13%, now 3% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,628
−$28K P&L

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
Yes · entry 17%, now 7% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,404
−$5,677 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 65%, now 98% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,259
+$764 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 10%, now 81% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,446
+$1,260 P&L

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 13%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$55
−$209 P&L

Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes · entry 12%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$40
−$81 P&L

Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?
Yes · entry 2%, now 1% · ends Nov 1, 2026

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?
Yes · entry 18%, now 2% · ends Nov 1, 2026

Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 8%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 44%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Yes · entry 25%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 58%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 64%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Recent trades

Bought No at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 62%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 62%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Sold Yes at 79%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Sold Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought Yes at 21%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 8%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Bought Yes at 8%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 64%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought Yes at 8%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Bought Yes at 8%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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