
bifurcatio has made $1,809 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #56,752 all time by profit, with 510K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,809
- All-time volume (shares)
- 510K
- Portfolio value
- $98K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 110 closed)
- 78%
How bifurcatio has traded
Across all 110 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 86 (78%) ended in profit and 24 in a loss, for −$789 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 76%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $81K together, the biggest is “Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 35% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 53% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$1,823

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?
No · entry 88% · closed Oct 17, 2026
+$1,060

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$691

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19?
No · entry 89% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$472

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
No · entry 55% · closed Feb 3, 2026
+$448

Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Dec 7, 2024
+$406

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 81% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$391

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 71% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$372

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$362

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
No · entry 74% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$360
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
No · entry 63% · closed Oct 21, 2025
−$7,591

Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
No · entry 78% · closed Mar 2, 2026
−$1,000

Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
No · entry 81% · closed Feb 10, 2026
−$1,000

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
No · entry 76% · closed Sep 24, 2026
−$980

Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 24, 2026
−$267

Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?
No · entry 54% · closed Nov 29, 2024
−$208

Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 77% · closed Sep 24, 2026
−$113

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Down · entry 50% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$3

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Down · entry 50% · closed Feb 13, 2026
−$3

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Down · entry 46% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$2
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 85%, now 88% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$834 P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 87%, now 87% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$68 P&L

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
No · entry 50%, now 54% · ends Oct 25, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,192
+$636 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 64%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,893
+$181 P&L

Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,811
+$44 P&L

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 90%, now 91% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,878
+$9 P&L

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,391
−$66 P&L

Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 93% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,017
+$98 P&L

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
No · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,900
+$150 P&L

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,771
−$58 P&L

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,744
+$55 P&L

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 91%, now 89% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,600
−$29 P&L

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No · entry 84%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,545
+$232 P&L

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No · entry 91%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,542
−$14 P&L

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,497
+$16 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 56%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Sold No at 85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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