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anciano

0xa8b7…ee3c · Joined November 6, 2021

#4,802 all time#701 this monthView on Polymarket

anciano has made $36K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,802 all time by profit, with 25M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$36K
All-time volume (shares)
25M
Portfolio value
$177K
Profit this month
+$24K
Win rate (last 196 closed)
52%

How anciano has traded

Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 102 (52%) ended in profit and 94 in a loss, for +$461 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 37%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 132 of the 196 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $37K together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” (No) at 20% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?

    No · entry 0.5% · closed Feb 13, 2023

    +$23K

  • Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

    Yes · entry 7% · closed Dec 5, 2022

    +$6,839

  • Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?

    Republican · entry 18% · closed Nov 13, 2022

    +$6,570

  • Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?

    No · entry 0.2% · closed Feb 13, 2023

    +$6,051

  • Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress?

    No · entry 50% · closed Jan 7, 2023

    +$5,684

  • Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 71% · closed Jun 22, 2026

    +$4,772

  • Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?

    Democratic · entry 14% · closed Oct 31, 2022

    +$4,613

  • Will DRX or T1 win the 2022 League of Legends World Championship?

    DRX · entry 12% · closed Nov 6, 2022

    +$4,607

  • Trump wins every swing state?

    Yes · entry 87% · closed Nov 10, 2024

    +$4,161

  • Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

    Yes · entry 21% · closed Sep 30, 2026

    +$3,686

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?

    Yes · entry 97% · closed Feb 13, 2023

    −$23K

  • Scorigami in NFL Week 6?

    No · entry 57% · closed Oct 14, 2024

    −$9,621

  • Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?

    Democrat · entry 80% · closed Nov 13, 2022

    −$7,721

  • Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

    No · entry 80% · closed Dec 18, 2022

    −$7,023

  • Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Nov 23, 2022

    −$5,924

  • Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress?

    Yes · entry 63% · closed Jan 7, 2023

    −$5,733

  • Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?

    Republican · entry 87% · closed Nov 17, 2022

    −$4,681

  • Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?

    No · entry 64% · closed Jan 13, 2025

    −$4,460

  • Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

    Yes · entry 67% · closed Jan 1, 2026

    −$4,078

  • Will DRX or T1 win the 2022 League of Legends World Championship?

    T1 · entry 41% · closed Nov 6, 2022

    −$3,996

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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