studmuffin6969
0xa8af…325e · Joined October 15, 2023
studmuffin6969 has made $129K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,552 all time by profit, with 19M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$129K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 19M
- Portfolio value
- $99K
- Profit this month
- +$1,316
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 74%
How studmuffin6969 has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 148 (74%) ended in profit and 51 in a loss, for +$38K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $78K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$35K

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$30K

Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$8,134

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$7,553

Will a Democrat win Hawaii Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$6,832

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$5,000

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$4,844

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$4,747

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Nov 5, 2024
+$4,275

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$4,205
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Rams vs. Seahawks
Rams · entry 44% · closed Jan 26, 2026
−$15K

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$9,180

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 14% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$8,959

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 67% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$8,959

Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$6,104

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$4,518

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 47% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$4,443

49ers vs. Seahawks
49ers · entry 27% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$3,232

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$3,109

Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$3,082
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$244 P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$1,296 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,505
+$334 P&L

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 86%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,115
+$391 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Jan 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,712
+$112 P&L

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 75% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,506
+$3,203 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 55%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,948
+$456 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,865
+$0 P&L

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,544
+$404 P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 79%, now 83% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,485
+$112 P&L

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,389
+$69 P&L

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$1,951
−$3 P&L

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 91%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,920
+$100 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,850
+$10 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 86% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,710
−$110 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 95%
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 95%
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 95%
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.