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Thoughtful-Scalp

0xa87a…5403 · Joined November 30, 2025

#100,806 all time#37,408 this monthView on Polymarket

Thoughtful-Scalp has made $668 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #100,806 all time by profit, with 48K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$668
All-time volume (shares)
48K
Portfolio value
$5,712
Profit this month
+$39
Win rate (last 33 closed)
70%

How Thoughtful-Scalp has traded

Across all 33 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 23 (70%) ended in profit and 10 in a loss, for +$710 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $5,712 together, the biggest is “US strike on Cuba by December 31?” (No) at 68% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • OpenAI IPO before 2027?

    No · entry 67% · closed Sep 15, 2026

    +$347

  • Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?

    No · entry 30% · closed Apr 15, 2026

    +$147

  • Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?

    Yes · entry 47% · closed Aug 16, 2026

    +$74

  • Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

    No · entry 66% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$65

  • NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

    No · entry 71% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    +$52

  • Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

    Croatia · entry 27% · closed Jul 3, 2026

    +$46

  • Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

    Yes · entry 38% · closed Oct 1, 2026

    +$41

  • Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

    Yes · entry 34% · closed Mar 6, 2026

    +$38

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 16?

    Yes · entry 3% · closed Feb 17, 2026

    +$37

  • Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?

    Yes · entry 30% · closed Mar 12, 2026

    +$21

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 45% · closed Oct 4, 2026

    −$192

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    No · entry 38% · closed Oct 4, 2026

    −$52

  • Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?

    Yes · entry 36% · closed Oct 15, 2026

    −$34

  • Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?

    No · entry 80% · closed Sep 6, 2026

    −$12

  • Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

    Germany · entry 55% · closed Jul 23, 2026

    −$10

  • Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

    Yes · entry 24% · closed Sep 20, 2026

    −$9

  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    No · entry 85% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    −$9

  • Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Sep 10, 2026

    −$3

  • Iran leadership change by April 30?

    No · entry 62% · closed May 1, 2026

    −$1

  • Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

    Yes · entry 41% · closed Mar 5, 2026

    −$0

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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