Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

Elias.Thornwell

0xa667…ceb3 · Joined June 22, 2025

#29,371 all time#665,617 this monthView on Polymarket

Elias.Thornwell has made $4,255 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #29,371 all time by profit, with 7.5M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$4,255
All-time volume (shares)
7.5M
Portfolio value
$711K
Profit this month
−$2,267
Win rate (last 197 closed)
59%

How Elias.Thornwell has traded

Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 117 (59%) ended in profit and 80 in a loss, for +$321 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $197K together, the biggest is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” (No) at 16% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 70% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$6,546

  • Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

    Yes · entry 1% · closed May 17, 2026

    +$2,993

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

    No · entry 87% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$2,397

  • Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

    No · entry 94% · closed May 9, 2026

    +$1,892

  • Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 76% · closed Sep 21, 2026

    +$1,618

  • Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

    Yes · entry 0.4% · closed May 9, 2026

    +$1,406

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

    No · entry 92% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$1,374

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

    No · entry 94% · closed May 8, 2026

    +$1,303

  • Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

    Yes · entry 0.4% · closed May 17, 2026

    +$1,262

  • Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

    Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 14, 2026

    +$1,193

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 84% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    −$6,100

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

    No · entry 93% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    −$2,562

  • Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

    No · entry 94% · closed May 18, 2026

    −$2,054

  • Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed May 17, 2026

    −$1,407

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

    No · entry 56% · closed Mar 1, 2026

    −$1,383

  • Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed May 17, 2026

    −$1,245

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

    No · entry 97% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    −$1,168

  • Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed May 9, 2026

    −$1,156

  • Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed May 15, 2026

    −$1,151

  • Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed Apr 28, 2026

    −$1,032

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.