thecraggy is down $34K in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$34K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.0M
- Portfolio value
- $6,854
- Profit this month
- +$4,322
- Win rate (last 133 closed)
- 63%
How thecraggy has traded
Across all 133 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 84 (63%) ended in profit and 49 in a loss, for +$40K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 114 of the 133 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $6,854 together, the biggest is “Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?” (Yes) at 71% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Elina Svitolina · entry 43% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$6,437

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
BetBoom Team · entry 35% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$5,164

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
MOUZ · entry 46% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$4,765

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
MOUZ · entry 64% · closed Aug 2, 2026
+$4,547

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Vici Gaming · entry 31% · closed Aug 3, 2026
+$4,441

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$3,823

Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova · entry 45% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$3,766

Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud
Juan Manuel Cerundolo · entry 44% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$3,755

Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcan
Damir Dzumhur · entry 58% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$3,664

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 58% · closed Jul 5, 2026
+$3,651
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
England · entry 56% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$9,954

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$6,295

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
MIBR · entry 40% · closed Aug 16, 2026
−$6,010

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
NIP · entry 55% · closed Jul 22, 2026
−$5,115

Spread: France (-1.5)
France · entry 59% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$5,105

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Astralis · entry 48% · closed Jun 11, 2026
−$4,400

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Legacy · entry 63% · closed Jun 11, 2026
−$4,144

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$3,994

Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
Karolina Muchova · entry 59% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$3,074

Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova
Naomi Osaka · entry 47% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$3,049
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 41%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$4,878
+$2,878 P&L

Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 36% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,976
−$133 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 37%
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?

Bought FURIA at 55%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Bought Yes at 41%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought LEGION at 38%
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Bought G2 at 43%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Bought Yes at 40%
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?

Bought Yes at 36%
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?

Bought BetBoom Team at 34%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Bought BetBoom Team at 34%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Bought MOUZ at 69%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Bought MOUZ at 65%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Sold FUT Esports at >99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner

Bought FUT Esports at 71%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner

Bought FUT Esports at 72%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner

Bought FUT Esports at 72%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
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