charliealmanack
0xa3a3…c2f9 · Joined November 11, 2025
charliealmanack has made $166K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,232 all time by profit, with 3.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$166K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.6M
- Portfolio value
- $300K
- Profit this month
- −$626
- Win rate (last 172 closed)
- 67%
How charliealmanack has traded
Across all 172 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 115 (67%) ended in profit and 57 in a loss, for +$214K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 62%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $300K together, the biggest is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” (No) at 89% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$39K

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$34K

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Jun 11, 2026
+$25K

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Mar 8, 2026
+$17K

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Dec 22, 2025
+$16K

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 26% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$14K

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Dec 16, 2025
+$12K

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$11K

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Mar 12, 2026
+$11K

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$9,450
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?
Yes · entry 51% · closed May 30, 2026
−$17K

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 71% · closed May 30, 2026
−$14K

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$14K

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$12K

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?
No · entry 78% · closed May 30, 2026
−$12K

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$10K

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jun 11, 2026
−$8,585

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
No · entry 81% · closed May 30, 2026
−$8,100

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?
Yes · entry 33% · closed May 30, 2026
−$6,600

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$6,600
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$268K
+$20K P&L

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 24%, now 15% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
−$5,972 P&L

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Nov 8, 2028
$6,997
+$53 P&L

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 68%, now 64% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,298
−$234 P&L

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,088
+$78 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 78%, now 15% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,212
−$9,549 P&L

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,503
+$63 P&L

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,502
+$85 P&L

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
No · entry 45%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$982
+$532 P&L

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 10%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$975
−$4,009 P&L

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$517
+$19 P&L

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 16%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$290
−$1,310 P&L

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No · entry 58%, now 22% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$216
−$366 P&L

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
No · entry 56%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$140
+$57 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 69%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$133
+$18 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 96%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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