cmnd7w is down $4,210 in realized results on Polymarket, with 418K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$4,210
- All-time volume (shares)
- 418K
- Portfolio value
- $3,742
- Profit this month
- −$4,244
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 39%
How cmnd7w has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 78 (39%) ended in profit and 121 in a loss, for −$880 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 80 of the 199 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,676 together, the biggest is “Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?” (No) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 23% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$1,223
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$793
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 35% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$684
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$612
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$572
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$436
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$431
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 31% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$373
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
No · entry 34% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$277
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$273
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$1,268
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 65% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$813
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$650
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$547
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$498
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 65% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$468
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$394
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$296
Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$233
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$216
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
No · entry 76%, now 78% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$775
+$15 P&L
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 84% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$395
−$7 P&L
Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$288
+$9 P&L
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$214
−$7 P&L
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?
No · entry 74%, now 72% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$175
−$6 P&L
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes · entry 66%, now 83% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$165
+$33 P&L
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?
No · entry 86%, now 82% · ends May 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$122
−$7 P&L
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
No · entry 59%, now 88% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$101
+$33 P&L
Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 16% and 17%?
No · entry 60%, now 59% · ends Dec 2, 2026
Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes · entry 72%, now 69% · ends Mar 14, 2027
Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?
Yes · entry 43%, now 33% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$72
−$21 P&L
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes · entry 30%, now 28% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 59% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?
No · entry 82%, now 22% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$43
−$116 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 40%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Bought Yes at 40%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Bought No at 61%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Bought No at 32%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
Bought Yes at 69%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
Bought Yes at 31%
Will Ronaldo Nazário attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Bought Yes at 90%
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?
Bought No at 11%
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?
Bought No at 72%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?
Bought No at 72%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?
Bought Yes at 28%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?
Bought Yes at 28%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?
Bought Yes at 16%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Bought No at 84%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Bought Yes at 95%
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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