alpha-bonds has made $3,510 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #34,205 all time by profit, with 314K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$3,510
- All-time volume (shares)
- 314K
- Portfolio value
- $2,498
- Profit this month
- −$64
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 87%
How alpha-bonds has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 174 (87%) ended in profit and 26 in a loss, for −$8,880 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 89%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,498 together, the biggest is “Will Vance peak at Category 2?” (Yes) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Zhuoxuan Bai
Polina Iatcenko · entry 41% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$2,090
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa
Mayar Sherif · entry 42% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$1,842
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot · entry 39% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$1,521
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcan
Damir Dzumhur · entry 31% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$1,338
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert · entry 37% · closed Jun 26, 2026
+$1,329
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys · entry 35% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$1,298
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Jannik Sinner · entry 62% · closed Jul 12, 2026
+$1,240
Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman Andres Burruchaga · entry 46% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$1,135
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego · entry 49% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$1,046
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia
Nicolas Mejia · entry 46% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$989
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$1,677
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert · entry 73% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$1,207
Livesport Prague Open: Diane Parry vs Mai Hontama
Diane Parry · entry 69% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$1,100
Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Lorenzo Sonego · entry 60% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$1,096
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
No · entry 50% · closed Sep 14, 2026
−$921
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · entry 60% · closed Aug 20, 2026
−$917
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Gauthier Onclin · entry 49% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$892
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Oceane Dodin vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Oceane Dodin · entry 56% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$874
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$855
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot · entry 44% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$835
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Vance peak at Category 2?
Yes · entry 83%, now 96% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$643
+$91 P&L
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Yes · entry 90%, now 97% · ended Oct 24, 2026
$431
+$31 P&L
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
Yes · entry 92%, now 97% · ended Oct 10, 2026
$402
+$22 P&L
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
Yes · entry 96%, now 95% · ended Oct 3, 2026
$373
−$2 P&L
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
Yes · entry 94%, now 95% · ended Sep 21, 2026
$293
+$3 P&L
Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges
Mika Brunold · entry 49%, now 14% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$165
−$435 P&L
Will Vance peak at Category 4?
No · entry 92%, now 98% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Will Vance peak at Category 3?
No · entry 88%, now 96% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Will Anthropic list on the NYSE?
No · entry 90%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Recent trades
Bought Mika Brunold at 49%
Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Sold Harriet Dart at >99%
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova
Bought Harriet Dart at 44%
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova
Sold Han Shi at >99%
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova
Bought Han Shi at 69%
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova
Bought Yes at 79%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Bought Yes at 79%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 94%
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Bought No at 88%
Will Vance peak at Category 3?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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