Tender-Sombrero
0xa313…eb44 · Joined March 7, 2026
Tender-Sombrero has made $2,311 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #47,239 all time by profit, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,311
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $17K
- Profit this month
- +$668
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 46%
How Tender-Sombrero has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 92 (46%) ended in profit and 108 in a loss, for −$2,846 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 112 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?” (Yes) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No · entry 52% · closed May 27, 2026
+$3,724

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
No · entry 77% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$1,976

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
No · entry 62% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$1,844

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$1,566

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$1,501

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$1,269

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
No · entry 80% · closed Aug 17, 2026
+$1,140

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 8, 2026
+$1,059

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
No · entry 85% · closed May 29, 2026
+$994

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$915
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 49% · closed May 1, 2026
−$6,334

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Apr 22, 2026
−$5,573

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$3,427

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$2,997

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 13, 2026
−$2,371

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 67% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$2,333

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$2,202

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$1,317

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 83% · closed May 1, 2026
−$1,100

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Jun 13, 2026
−$1,016
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes · entry 61%, now 66% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,898
+$268 P&L

Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?
No · entry 70%, now 53% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,187
−$734 P&L

Will Sunderland be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
No · entry 75%, now 74% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,076
−$9 P&L

Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
No · entry 46%, now 49% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,043
+$52 P&L

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
No · entry 72%, now 79% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$805
+$67 P&L

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Yes · entry 70%, now 74% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$775
+$37 P&L

Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
No · entry 66%, now 79% · ends Jun 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$710
+$118 P&L

Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
No · entry 64%, now 67% · ends Sep 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$639
+$25 P&L

Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Yes · entry 53%, now 56% · ends Sep 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$632
+$39 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 65%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$629
−$9 P&L

Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 82%, now 75% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$602
−$58 P&L

Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?
Yes · entry 69%, now 69% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$591
−$3 P&L

Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
Yes · entry 59%, now 65% · ends Jun 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$446
+$39 P&L

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 20%, now 23% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$359
+$40 P&L

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?
No · entry 78%, now 78% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$322
−$2 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 78%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?

Bought Chelsea FC at 15%
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)

Bought Chelsea FC at 31%
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

Bought Yes at 53%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
Bought Yes at 54%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Bought Yes at 53%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Bought Yes at 52%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Bought Yes at 52%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Bought No at 65%
Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Bought No at 64%
Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Bought No at 63%
Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
Bought Yes at 50%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?

Sold AFC Bournemouth at >99%
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

Sold No at 97%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?

Bought No at 54%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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