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caspar1248

0xa278…3369 · Joined June 25, 2026

#3,218,226 all time#670,253 this monthView on Polymarket

caspar1248 is down $33K in realized results on Polymarket, with 6.6M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$33K
All-time volume (shares)
6.6M
Portfolio value
$25K
Profit this month
−$311K
Win rate (last 118 closed)
82%

How caspar1248 has traded

Across the 118 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 97 (82%) ended in profit and 21 in a loss, for +$14K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 64 of the 118 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $24K together, the biggest is “Broncos vs. Cardinals” (Broncos) at 29% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Spread: LA (-9.5)

    LA · entry 46% · closed Sep 22, 2026

    +$18K

  • Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 22, 2026

    +$13K

  • Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?

    Yes · entry 14% · closed Jul 4, 2026

    +$12K

  • Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 22, 2026

    +$11K

  • Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$10K

  • Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$8,798

  • Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$7,352

  • Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$6,453

  • Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?

    Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$6,400

  • Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Jun 28, 2026

    +$6,122

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$14K

  • Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?

    No · entry 98% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$11K

  • US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Sep 18, 2026

    −$10K

  • Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?

    No · entry 96% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$10K

  • Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?

    No · entry 99% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$10K

  • Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?

    Yes · entry 79% · closed Oct 13, 2026

    −$7,287

  • LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

    Bilibili Gaming · entry 82% · closed Oct 23, 2026

    −$7,216

  • Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?

    No · entry 99% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$7,205

  • Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    −$7,079

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream

    Golden State Valkyries · entry 42% · closed Oct 22, 2026

    −$6,767

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Broncos vs. Cardinals

    Broncos · entry 69%, now 89% · ends Oct 25, 2026

    $6,931

    +$1,489 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?

    No · entry 90%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $6,034

    +$599 P&L

  • Chiefs vs. Seahawks

    Chiefs · entry 42%, now 42% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $2,318

    −$28 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5

    Over · entry 83%, now 100% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $2,075

    +$353 P&L

  • Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?

    Yes · entry 73%, now 74% · ends Oct 27, 2026

    $1,183

    +$8 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?

    Yes · entry 44%, now 44% · ends Oct 27, 2026

    $1,105

    −$13 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 44%, now 59% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $1,079

    +$274 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Lakers vs. Jazz

    Lakers · entry 68%, now 74% · ends Oct 25, 2026

    $637

    +$44 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?

    No · entry 93%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $625

    +$42 P&L

  • Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?

    No · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $539

    +$8 P&L

  • FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 7.5

    Under · entry 94%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $391

    +$23 P&L

  • Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?

    No · entry 29%, now 28% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $254

    −$14 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?

    No · entry 86%, now 95% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $182

    +$17 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

    Yes · entry 40%, now 39% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $176

    −$4 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?

    Yes · entry 31%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026

    $132

    +$92 P&L

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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