Naropoly has made $25K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #6,638 all time by profit, with 3.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$25K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.0M
- Portfolio value
- $65K
- Profit this month
- +$3,767
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 84%
How Naropoly has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 168 (84%) ended in profit and 31 in a loss, for −$340 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 79%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $63K together, the biggest is “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?” (No) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
No · entry 75% · closed May 9, 2026
+$6,157

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
No · entry 73% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$3,487

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$3,332

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Apr 19, 2026
+$3,065

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
No · entry 88% · closed Dec 12, 2024
+$1,803

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$1,775

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,712

Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?
No · entry 82% · closed May 24, 2025
+$1,487

Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$1,436

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$1,359
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
No · entry 48% · closed Nov 10, 2024
−$7,075

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No · entry 84% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$5,995

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$3,249

Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 20, 2026
−$3,193

Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
No · entry 72% · closed Dec 18, 2024
−$3,035

'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Sep 10, 2024
−$2,677

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
No · entry 93% · closed Jan 4, 2025
−$2,650

Will Wesley So win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?
No · entry 93% · closed Aug 28, 2025
−$1,911

Solana ETF approved by July 31?
No · entry 37% · closed Jul 5, 2025
−$1,293

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$1,252
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$24 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 85%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$13K
+$1,978 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 82%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$2,128 P&L

Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,875
+$197 P&L

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 88%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,742
+$138 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,890
+$0 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Yes · entry 97%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,591
+$33 P&L

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,468
+$17 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 94%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,236
+$72 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 94%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$890
+$54 P&L

Viktor Orbán arrested by...?
No · entry 75%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$752
+$46 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$648
+$4 P&L

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Yes · entry 97%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$574
+$14 P&L

No one announced as next James Bond?
No · entry 74%, now 68% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$411
−$35 P&L

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 59%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$399
+$165 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 92%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

Bought No at 98%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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