hotcity is down $7,524 in realized results on Polymarket, with 226K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$7,524
- All-time volume (shares)
- 226K
- Portfolio value
- $1,937
- Profit this month
- −$163
- Win rate (last 80 closed)
- 69%
How hotcity has traded
Across all 80 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 55 (69%) ended in profit and 25 in a loss, for +$12K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,937 together, the biggest is “Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (Yes) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Sep 18, 2024
+$2,701
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
No · entry 10% · closed Aug 19, 2024
+$1,350
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Dec 21, 2025
+$1,211
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$1,150
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$1,033
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Nov 17, 2025
+$1,007
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jul 22, 2024
+$886
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Nov 9, 2024
+$863
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
No · entry 72% · closed Oct 27, 2025
+$771
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Yes · entry 78% · closed May 22, 2026
+$719
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Sep 18, 2024
−$2,245
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$1,948
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Sep 29, 2025
−$1,414
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
No · entry 62% · closed Nov 25, 2025
−$1,202
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Sep 11, 2024
−$1,000
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Jul 13, 2025
−$845
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 9, 2024
−$795
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
No · entry 67% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$600
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
No · entry 67% · closed Nov 14, 2024
−$600
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Jan 1, 2025
−$583
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 58%, now 56% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,937
−$63 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Celtics at 53%
Celtics vs. Pistons
Bought Yes at 58%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Bought Norway at 32%
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
$150
Bought Morocco at 24%
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
$100
Bought Yes at 83%
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
$1,000
Bought United States at 54%
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
$150
Bought Mexico at 49%
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
$150
Bought Norway at 29%
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
$150
Bought Spurs at 34%
Knicks vs. Spurs
$200
Sold Yes at 60%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$1,466
Bought Yes at 82%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$2,000
Bought Knicks at 48%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
$500
Bought Spurs at 53%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
$500
Bought Thunder at 46%
Thunder vs. Spurs
$500
Bought Knicks at 52%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
$500
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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