Vale54holi has made $103K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,888 all time by profit, with 725K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$103K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 725K
- Portfolio value
- $273
- Profit this month
- +$446K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 46%
How Vale54holi has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 91 (46%) ended in profit and 106 in a loss, for +$76K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $131 together, the biggest is “Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?” (Yes) at 10% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 32% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$17K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 5% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$15K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 22% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$8,821
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 44% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$8,658
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 68% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$7,130
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 29% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$6,677
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No · entry 35% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$6,323
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No · entry 31% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$5,060
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No · entry 65% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$4,066
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 56% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$3,558
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$4,153
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$3,985
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,699
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$744
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$716
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$706
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$705
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$681
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$573
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$572
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 28, 2026
$13
−$642 P&L
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 28, 2026
$13
−$642 P&L
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 28, 2026
$13
−$642 P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 19%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 29, 2026
$9
−$3,365 P&L
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$9
−$412 P&L
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Nov 29, 2026
$5
−$356 P&L
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$5
−$104 P&L
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$5
−$104 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 32%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought No at 68%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought No at >99%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought No at 59%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Bought No at 41%
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Bought Yes at 52%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought No at 51%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
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