Scrimpy has made $16K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #9,836 all time by profit, with 403K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 29, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 403K
- Portfolio value
- $3,577
- Profit this month
- −$50
- Win rate (last 56 closed)
- 77%
How Scrimpy has traded
Across all 56 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 43 (77%) ended in profit and 13 in a loss, for +$17K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $3,577 together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 53% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jun 22, 2026
+$9,478
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 74% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$2,095
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 88% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,411
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$839
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$798
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
No · entry 90% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$767
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Jul 16, 2026
+$693
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed May 16, 2026
+$383
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$382
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Aug 11, 2026
+$292
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jun 4, 2026
−$736
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No · entry 36% · closed Jul 30, 2026
−$428
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jul 30, 2026
−$261
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Feb 23, 2026
−$199
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 85% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$80
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Apr 27, 2026
−$45
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 76% · closed Mar 11, 2026
−$45
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$26
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
No · entry 1% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$11
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
No · entry 1% · closed Feb 23, 2026
−$5
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,887
+$10 P&L
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,690
−$70 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 88%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Bought No at 88%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Bought No at 88%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Bought No at 88%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Bought No at 92%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$5
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$5
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$5
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$1
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$1
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$4
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$4
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$4
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$1
Sold No at 76%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$6
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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