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tinman2

0x9bae…5d34 · Joined October 27, 2020

#12,664 all time#667,477 this monthView on Polymarket

tinman2 has made $12K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #12,664 all time by profit, with 1.9M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$12K
All-time volume (shares)
1.9M
Portfolio value
$35K
Profit this month
−$3,898
Win rate (last 199 closed)
77%

How tinman2 has traded

Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 154 (77%) ended in profit and 45 in a loss, for +$3,044 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $24K together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No) at 26% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Biden finish his term?

    Yes · entry 69% · closed Jan 20, 2025

    +$14K

  • Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Apr 25, 2026

    +$5,901

  • Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?

    No · entry 70% · closed Sep 1, 2024

    +$4,958

  • US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

    No · entry 59% · closed Jan 15, 2026

    +$3,546

  • Another Iran strike on Israel in October?

    No · entry 65% · closed Nov 1, 2024

    +$2,949

  • No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 73% · closed Jan 23, 2026

    +$2,844

  • Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

    Yes · entry 39% · closed Feb 3, 2026

    +$2,770

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 42% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$2,593

  • Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

    Yes · entry 55% · closed May 22, 2026

    +$2,446

  • Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed Apr 25, 2026

    +$2,368

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    No · entry 58% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$11K

  • Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

    Yes · entry 30% · closed May 29, 2025

    −$6,084

  • US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

    No · entry 88% · closed Jan 15, 2026

    −$5,467

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

    No · entry 78% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$4,801

  • Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

    No · entry 64% · closed Oct 7, 2024

    −$4,668

  • Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Feb 5, 2026

    −$3,237

  • Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

    Yes · entry 87% · closed Aug 6, 2024

    −$3,095

  • US military action against Iran before July?

    No · entry 49% · closed Jun 22, 2025

    −$2,748

  • Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?

    No · entry 69% · closed Feb 18, 2021

    −$2,500

  • Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?

    Yes · entry 80% · closed Jan 23, 2025

    −$2,372

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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