
Rex416 has made $31K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #5,559 all time by profit, with 26M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$31K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 26M
- Portfolio value
- $44K
- Profit this month
- +$60K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 62%
How Rex416 has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 122 (62%) ended in profit and 75 in a loss, for +$2,011 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 63%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $24K together, the biggest is “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?” (No) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
Yes · entry 29% · closed May 18, 2026
+$42K

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$23K

Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
Jessica Pegula · entry 57% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$15K

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 16% · closed May 3, 2026
+$14K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$14K

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees · entry 74% · closed Jul 26, 2026
+$13K

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jun 28, 2026
+$12K

ITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace
Mao Mushika · entry 12% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$12K

Exact Score: San Diego FC 1 - 0 Club Tijuana?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Aug 10, 2026
+$11K

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$11K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu
Yunchaokete Bu · entry 93% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$29K

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 18, 2026
−$27K

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$24K

Fight to Go the Distance?
No · entry 82% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$20K

The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnson
Sofia Johnson · entry 38% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$19K

Eagles vs. Patriots
Eagles · entry 75% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$19K

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
FURIA · entry 62% · closed Aug 22, 2026
−$17K

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko
Varvara Lepchenko · entry 68% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$17K

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadan
Alan Magadan · entry 49% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$16K

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Edward Winter
Edward Winter · entry 22% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$15K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No · entry 53%, now 84% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,088
+$1,504 P&L

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?
No · entry 63%, now >99% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$2,795
+$1,030 P&L

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 88%, now 69% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,398
−$672 P&L

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Dec 6, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,988
+$8 P&L

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 95%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,968
−$32 P&L

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?
Yes · entry 51%, now 99% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$1,725
+$839 P&L

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No · entry 87%, now 68% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,360
−$380 P&L

Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Yes · entry 94%, now 89% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,337
−$74 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 86%, now 90% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,122
+$49 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 62%, now 62% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,036
+$5 P&L

Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$930
+$0 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$920
+$0 P&L

Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
No · entry 74%, now 92% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$919
+$180 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 75%, now 71% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$888
−$44 P&L

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$886
−$1 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Bought No at 75%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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