anoin123 is down $4.9M in realized results on Polymarket, with 125M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$4.9M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 125M
- Portfolio value
- $2.0M
- Profit this month
- +$706K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 55%
How anoin123 has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 110 (55%) ended in profit and 89 in a loss, for +$34K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1.0M together, the biggest is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?” (No) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed May 9, 2026
+$349K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 39% · closed May 12, 2026
+$175K

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$173K

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$167K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed May 11, 2026
+$166K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$156K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 20% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$153K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Apr 26, 2026
+$151K

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$147K

US forces enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Apr 5, 2026
+$143K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 76% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$1.6M

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$651K

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 51% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$589K

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 72% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$464K

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
No · entry 78% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$449K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 77% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$423K

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 79% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$409K

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 41% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$342K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 82% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$332K

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$286K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$211K
+$55K P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 77%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$139K
+$12K P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 35%, now 63% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$87K
+$38K P&L

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No · entry 30%, now 47% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$75K
+$28K P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes · entry 83%, now 91% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$74K
+$6,060 P&L

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 60%, now 47% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$63K
−$19K P&L

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 85%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$53K
+$570 P&L

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 28%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$47K
+$34K P&L

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$43K
+$1,241 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 38%, now 51% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$40K
+$10K P&L

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 59%, now 47% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$39K
−$11K P&L

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No · entry 51%, now 59% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$38K
+$5,023 P&L

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 32%, now 32% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$37K
−$744 P&L

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No · entry 76%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$37K
+$2,918 P&L

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 87%, now 91% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
+$1,691 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 7%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?

Bought Yes at 7%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?

Bought No at 87%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?

Bought Yes at 7%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Bought Yes at 4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought Yes at 7%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought No at 38%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

Bought No at 87%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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