fledger is down $55 in realized results on Polymarket, with 686K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$55
- All-time volume (shares)
- 686K
- Portfolio value
- $55K
- Profit this month
- +$108
- Win rate (last 23 closed)
- 100%
How fledger has traded
Across all 23 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 23 (100%) ended in profit and 0 in a loss, for +$976 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $53K together, the biggest is “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?” (No) at 91% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$310
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$150
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 90% · closed Aug 2, 2026
+$140
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$139
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 94% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$60
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$52
New pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 94% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$20
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$18
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$18
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$17
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$48K
+$524 P&L
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,396
−$80 P&L
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 3%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$683
−$17 P&L
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 4%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$398
+$2 P&L
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 5%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$351
−$154 P&L
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$330
−$59 P&L
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?
Yes · entry 5%, now 7% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$264
+$53 P&L
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes · entry 6%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$180
−$60 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry 4%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$177
+$11 P&L
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Yes · entry 4%, now 4% · ends Dec 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$157
−$8 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
Yes · entry 3%, now 2% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$143
−$70 P&L
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 6%, now 7% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$122
+$17 P&L
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?
Yes · entry 6%, now 6% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$119
−$0 P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes · entry 5%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$111
−$39 P&L
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 5%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$101
+$1 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
Sold Yes at 7%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Sold Yes at 3%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 3%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 3%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 3%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 7%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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