
mountaindewd has made $144K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,403 all time by profit, with 4.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$144K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.7M
- Portfolio value
- $221K
- Profit this month
- +$54K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 83%
How mountaindewd has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 166 (83%) ended in profit and 34 in a loss, for +$193K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 106 of the 200 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $177K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 50% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$24K

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$18K

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$15K

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
No · entry 48% · closed May 21, 2026
+$7,024

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$6,886

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No · entry 75% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$6,819

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Yes · entry 35% · closed May 21, 2026
+$6,391

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 24% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$6,093

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$5,895

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jun 8, 2026
+$5,875
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 65% · closed May 19, 2025
−$7,830

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 62% · closed Feb 27, 2026
−$2,926

Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Apr 8, 2025
−$2,868

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 79% · closed Feb 27, 2026
−$2,827

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 57% · closed May 19, 2025
−$2,776

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 19% · closed May 19, 2025
−$2,336

Will TikTok be banned again before May?
No · entry 80% · closed May 1, 2025
−$2,196

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 1, 2025
−$2,175

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 56% · closed Apr 2, 2026
−$2,044

Bills vs. Jaguars
Jaguars · entry 54% · closed Feb 27, 2026
−$1,800
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 34%, now 88% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$89K
+$55K P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 68%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$1,306 P&L

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 64%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,132
+$485 P&L

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 75%, now 76% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,822
+$60 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 56%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,344
+$718 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 30%, now 84% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,056
+$3,900 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 79%, now 89% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,310
+$590 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 67%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,093
+$491 P&L

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 86%, now 86% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,306
−$3 P&L

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 82%, now 75% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$4,279
−$426 P&L

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Yes · entry 31%, now 86% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,275
+$2,725 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 65%, now 62% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,997
−$197 P&L

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 62%, now 71% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,820
+$452 P&L

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,725
+$75 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 64%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,603
+$83 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 97%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 82%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 82%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 82%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 82%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 83%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 93%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Bought No at 77%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 77%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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