Thoughtful-Uniform
0x91f0…f8d6 · Joined July 12, 2025
Thoughtful-Uniform is down $8,289 in realized results on Polymarket, with 561K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$8,289
- All-time volume (shares)
- 561K
- Portfolio value
- $2,201
- Profit this month
- −$2,557
- Win rate (last 49 closed)
- 59%
How Thoughtful-Uniform has traded
Across all 49 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 29 (59%) ended in profit and 20 in a loss, for −$5,125 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,201 together, the biggest is “Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (Yes) at 92% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$2,251

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Jan 13, 2026
+$690

Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
No · entry 42% · closed Nov 29, 2025
+$279

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Dec 13, 2025
+$250

Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 68% · closed Nov 29, 2025
+$235

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
No · entry 81% · closed Nov 28, 2025
+$231

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Oct 24, 2025
+$177

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$119

Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
No · entry 92% · closed Nov 26, 2025
+$85

Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$82
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Nov 25, 2025
−$2,917

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$2,631

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$1,123

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Jun 4, 2026
−$942

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$607

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Aug 8, 2026
−$503

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$205

Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Nov 25, 2025
−$200

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Nov 25, 2025
−$190

Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$149
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 56%, now 56% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,018
+$18 P&L

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$154
+$14 P&L

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$30
−$165 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 56%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 56%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 28%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 58%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 57%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 56%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 56%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 24%
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
$194

Sold Yes at 15%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$207

Bought No at 89%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$140

Bought Yes at 42%
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
$60

Bought Yes at 50%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$400

Sold Yes at 26%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
$425

Sold Yes at 3%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
$69
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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