su281 has made $38K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,602 all time by profit, with 30M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$38K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 30M
- Portfolio value
- $78K
- Profit this month
- −$14K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 66%
How su281 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 132 (66%) ended in profit and 68 in a loss, for +$61K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 66%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 8 largest open positions listed below, worth $78K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 47% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$83K
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$68K
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 52% · closed May 30, 2026
+$63K
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$55K
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jun 25, 2026
+$45K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 69% · closed May 30, 2026
+$45K
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Jun 28, 2026
+$45K
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$33K
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Feb 19, 2026
+$32K
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$32K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
No · entry 48% · closed May 30, 2026
−$76K
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
No · entry 73% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$40K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$39K
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
No · entry 68% · closed May 7, 2026
−$33K
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
No · entry 94% · closed Feb 19, 2026
−$31K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Yes · entry 91% · closed May 20, 2026
−$31K
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$31K
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$30K
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
No · entry 68% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$30K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 77% · closed Jul 14, 2026
−$28K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$37K
+$200 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 66%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
−$106 P&L
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
No · entry 69%, now 84% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$1,855 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 7%, now 9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,611
+$1,167 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 26%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,301
+$63 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 8%, now 9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,889
+$111 P&L
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
No · entry 32%, now 16% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,376
−$1,316 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 26%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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