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Fortunate-Caterpillar

0x9096…5984 · Joined September 30, 2025

#2,937,038 all time#85,289 this monthView on Polymarket

Fortunate-Caterpillar is down $399 in realized results on Polymarket, with 156K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$399
All-time volume (shares)
156K
Portfolio value
$22K
Profit this month
+$3
Win rate (last 200 closed)
83%

How Fortunate-Caterpillar has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 166 (83%) ended in profit and 34 in a loss, for +$4,768 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 33%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 188 of the 200 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 8 largest open positions listed below, worth $22K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 41% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Up · entry 15% · closed Feb 18, 2026

    +$422

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?

    Yes · entry 22% · closed Feb 3, 2026

    +$327

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Down · entry 19% · closed Feb 9, 2026

    +$174

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Up · entry 27% · closed Feb 17, 2026

    +$152

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Up · entry 25% · closed Feb 18, 2026

    +$141

  • Will Chicão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?

    Yes · entry 45% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$140

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Down · entry 6% · closed Feb 12, 2026

    +$137

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

    Yes · entry 81% · closed Oct 5, 2026

    +$134

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

    Up · entry 19% · closed Feb 10, 2026

    +$127

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Up · entry 22% · closed Feb 18, 2026

    +$125

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    −$676

  • Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

    No · entry 26% · closed Nov 18, 2025

    −$93

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

    Yes · entry 13% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    −$66

  • Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

    Yes · entry 13% · closed Oct 5, 2026

    −$62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Up · entry 8% · closed Feb 16, 2026

    −$35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Down · entry 30% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Up · entry 23% · closed Feb 14, 2026

    −$25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Up · entry 29% · closed May 25, 2026

    −$24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Down · entry 27% · closed Feb 26, 2026

    −$20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Down · entry 34% · closed Feb 18, 2026

    −$20

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 47%, now 68% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $8,945

    +$2,743 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

    Yes · entry 43%, now 43% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $7,935

    −$65 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

    No · entry 82%, now 97% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $4,365

    +$690 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 81%, now 31% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $240

    −$384 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

    Yes · entry 57%, now 73% · ended Oct 5, 2026

    $128

    +$28 P&L

  • Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?

    Yes · entry 39%, now 37% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $107

    −$7 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?

    Yes · entry 64%, now 52% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $103

    −$24 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?

    No · entry 58%, now 49% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $83

    −$17 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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