dwarf123 has made $13K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #12,112 all time by profit, with 231K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$13K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 231K
- Portfolio value
- $61K
- Profit this month
- +$6,688
- Win rate (last 9 closed)
- 56%
How dwarf123 has traded
Across all 9 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 5 (56%) ended in profit and 4 in a loss, for +$14K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 82%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 7 of the 9 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $61K together, the biggest is “NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?” (No) at 53% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$16K
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$113
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$51
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?
No · entry 93% · closed Sep 25, 2026
+$51
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 3, 2026
+$20
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$1,852
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$324
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$44
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$5
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$33K
+$4,413 P&L
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 75%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$1,902 P&L
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 72%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$545 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 84%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 75%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Bought No at 85%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 77%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Bought No at 85%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 91%
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Bought No at 86%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 80%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Bought No at 92%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 91%
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
Bought No at 90%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 91%
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
Bought No at 90%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 92%
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
Sold No at 92%
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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