nelbal8486 has made $24K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #6,830 all time by profit, with 1.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$24K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.5M
- Portfolio value
- $101K
- Profit this month
- −$990
- Win rate (last 103 closed)
- 82%
How nelbal8486 has traded
Across all 103 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 84 (82%) ended in profit and 19 in a loss, for +$50K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $100K together, the biggest is “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?” (No) at 69% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$42K
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 54% · closed May 30, 2026
+$11K
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
No · entry 90% · closed Dec 20, 2025
+$5,266
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Mar 11, 2025
+$3,180
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
No · entry 92% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$2,994
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$2,958
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
No · entry 68% · closed Mar 14, 2026
+$2,708
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Nov 13, 2024
+$2,608
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$2,309
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$1,814
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Nov 13, 2024
−$20K
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Nov 13, 2024
−$5,850
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$3,800
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jun 26, 2025
−$3,307
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
No · entry 24% · closed Dec 21, 2025
−$2,570
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
No · entry 9% · closed Aug 14, 2026
−$2,418
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Oct 29, 2024
−$2,210
Trump wins every swing state?
No · entry 71% · closed Nov 10, 2024
−$1,971
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
No · entry 53% · closed Mar 31, 2026
−$1,739
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Dec 21, 2025
−$1,504
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$69K
+$1,872 P&L
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
No · entry 69%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,200
+$2,080 P&L
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes · entry 65%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,212
−$361 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 66%, now 41% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,556
−$2,260 P&L
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,232
+$4 P&L
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,942
+$323 P&L
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
Yes · entry 71%, now 58% · ends Jun 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,856
−$423 P&L
Plague pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,635
+$20 P&L
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 15%, now 18% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,400
+$200 P&L
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 15%, now 14% · ends Jun 20, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,080
−$120 P&L
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 15%, now 14% · ends Jun 20, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,080
−$120 P&L
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,025
+$53 P&L
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$684
−$27 P&L
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes · entry 77%, now 82% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$646
+$36 P&L
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 73%, now 77% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$473
+$24 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 72%
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought No at 72%
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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