Grummer is down $57 in realized results on Polymarket, with 26K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$57
- All-time volume (shares)
- 26K
- Portfolio value
- $1,906
- Profit this month
- −$22
- Win rate (last 15 closed)
- 47%
How Grummer has traded
Across all 15 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 7 (47%) ended in profit and 8 in a loss, for −$32 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 63%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 6 of the 15 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,906 together, the biggest is “Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” (No) at 97% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$1,185
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$11
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Oct 5, 2025
+$7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 23, 2025
+$3
Will Germany win?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Sep 10, 2024
+$3
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Jan 23, 2025
+$2
Will Trump launch a coin by Friday?
No · entry 95% · closed Sep 10, 2024
+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$0
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$1,183
Will another team win the Bundesliga?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed May 4, 2025
−$24
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$20
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Dec 8, 2024
−$10
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 97% · closed May 30, 2026
−$3
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$2
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Jun 2, 2025
−$1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No · entry 96% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$1
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,854
−$1 P&L
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Dec 6, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 22%, now 11% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 2%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 99%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Bought No at 98%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Bought at 49%
Florence: Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino AND Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: mellren vs Four Magic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #9 Group B AND Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
$15
Bought Down at 49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Sold No at 97%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$949
Bought No at 97%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$950
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