Sardonic-Cue has made $51K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,582 all time by profit, with 7.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$51K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.0M
- Portfolio value
- $41K
- Profit this month
- +$3,318
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 82%
How Sardonic-Cue has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 160 (82%) ended in profit and 36 in a loss, for +$5,301 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 49%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $38K together, the biggest is “Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?” (No) at 45% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Dolphins vs. Texans
Texans · entry 25% · closed Dec 15, 2024
+$3,327
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?
No · entry 43% · closed Sep 5, 2025
+$3,003
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.6% · closed Jan 28, 2026
+$2,504
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 73% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$1,281
Fed rate hike in 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$1,166
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
No · entry 91% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$1,021
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 19, 2026
+$946
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Mar 19, 2026
+$939
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Mar 19, 2026
+$933
Trump x Xi talk before July?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 5, 2025
+$929
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 28, 2026
−$1,636
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
No · entry 87% · closed Feb 17, 2026
−$1,003
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 5, 2026
−$916
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
No · entry 97% · closed Mar 9, 2026
−$473
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$124
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?
Up · entry 99% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$98
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$86
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?
No · entry 86% · closed Feb 5, 2026
−$81
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed May 6, 2026
−$52
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?
No · entry >99% · closed Aug 1, 2025
−$49
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$80 P&L
Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,800
−$26 P&L
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 37%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,814
+$1,327 P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 83%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,475
−$10 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,830
−$10 P&L
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,528
+$124 P&L
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,242
+$132 P&L
ECB rate cut in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,161
+$31 P&L
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
No · entry 76%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,027
+$186 P&L
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
No · entry 36%, now 28% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,021
−$298 P&L
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,014
+$77 P&L
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$962
+$19 P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$905
−$5 P&L
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 92% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$425
+$38 P&L
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$406
+$11 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 93%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 81%
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
Sold Yes at 20%
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Sold Yes at 20%
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Bought No at 94%
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Sold Yes at 15%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Bought No at 95%
Trump out as President before 2027?
Sold Yes at 0.6%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Bought Yes at 82%
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Sold No at 90%
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
Bought No at 83%
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Sold No at 86%
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Bought No at 94%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Bought No at 97%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Bought No at 83%
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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