ef3arc is down $46K in realized results on Polymarket, with 20M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$46K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 20M
- Portfolio value
- $16K
- Profit this month
- −$327
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 40%
How ef3arc has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 79 (40%) ended in profit and 121 in a loss, for −$128K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 38%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $16K together, the biggest is “Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?” (No) at 27% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
No · entry 71% · closed May 20, 2026
+$77K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
No · entry 58% · closed May 31, 2026
+$64K
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$35K
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$21K
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$20K
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$19K
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$18K
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$18K
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$14K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jun 23, 2026
+$14K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
No · entry 33% · closed May 20, 2026
−$86K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$61K
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
No · entry 88% · closed Jun 23, 2026
−$28K
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jul 12, 2026
−$17K
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$15K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Jun 25, 2026
−$12K
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jul 5, 2026
−$11K
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$11K
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$9,946
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$9,627
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,226
+$245 P&L
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 76%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,720
+$667 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
Yes · entry 38%, now 53% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,757
+$472 P&L
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,354
+$105 P&L
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
No · entry 45%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,021
+$426 P&L
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$924
+$63 P&L
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 82%, now 73% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$815
−$105 P&L
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$724
+$120 P&L
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Yes · entry 16%, now 4% · ends Dec 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$471
−$1,537 P&L
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 68%, now 39% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$193
−$147 P&L
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Yes · entry 11%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$183
+$61 P&L
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 65%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$123
−$203 P&L
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Yes · entry 20%, now 0.9% · ends Dec 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$91
−$1,819 P&L
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
No · entry 57%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$68
−$217 P&L
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
No · entry 76%, now 62% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$45
−$11 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
Sold No at 45%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Bought No at 14%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 14%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 14%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 89%
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 14%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 14%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 15%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 15%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 15%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 89%
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 89%
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Bought No at 15%
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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