welcometowinnercircle
0x88b2…e1d1 · Joined January 26, 2026
welcometowinnercircle is down $16K in realized results on Polymarket, with 4.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.2M
- Portfolio value
- $873K
- Profit this month
- −$42K
- Win rate (last 156 closed)
- 76%
How welcometowinnercircle has traded
Across the 156 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 119 (76%) ended in profit and 37 in a loss, for +$7,362 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 87 of the 156 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $873K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 46% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$76K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Oct 17, 2026
+$52K
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$24K
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$15K
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$8,578
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$6,478
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$5,940
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$4,018
Bills vs. Rams
Bills · entry 46% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$3,230
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$2,374
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$20K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$20K
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$11K
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$10K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$399K
+$149K P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 82%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$372K
+$44K P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102K
−$149K P&L
Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No · entry 94%, now 100% · ended Jan 10, 2027
$349
+$23 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 23%, now 0.4% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$216
−$14K P&L
Will the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No · entry 89%, now 58% · ends Jan 12, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$148
−$78 P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 23%, now 0.1% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$93
−$14K P&L
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes · entry 97%, now 100% · ended Jan 10, 2027
$62
+$2 P&L
Will the Ravens win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No · entry 98%, now 100% · ended Jan 27, 2027
$60
+$1 P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 23%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 29, 2026
$31
−$14K P&L
Recent trades
Bought Bengals at >99%
Bengals vs. Ravens
Bought Bengals at >99%
Bengals vs. Ravens
Bought Bengals at >99%
Bengals vs. Ravens
Bought Bengals at >99%
Bengals vs. Ravens
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Bengals at >99%
Bengals vs. Ravens
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Bought Browns at 99%
Browns vs. Titans
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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