WarriorPooh has made $170K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,211 all time by profit, with 9.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$170K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 9.8M
- Portfolio value
- $1,418
- Profit this month
- +$6,515
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 53%
How WarriorPooh has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 105 (53%) ended in profit and 94 in a loss, for +$12K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 44%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,418 together, the biggest is “Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?” (Yes) at 55% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$27K
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$27K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 43% · closed May 9, 2026
+$18K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$13K
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Dec 26, 2025
+$11K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
No · entry 22% · closed May 26, 2026
+$8,975
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$7,168
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
No · entry 68% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$6,141
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$4,961
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Yes · entry 38% · closed May 1, 2026
+$4,956
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$12K
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$6,231
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
No · entry 37% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$5,976
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$5,547
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$5,056
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$4,786
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$4,618
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
No · entry 3% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$4,389
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes · entry 46% · closed May 27, 2026
−$4,226
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Apr 18, 2026
−$3,815
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 48% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$781
+$392 P&L
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
No · entry 65%, now 69% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$305
+$15 P&L
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 30%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$200
−$175 P&L
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?
No · entry 6%, now 5% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20
−$64 P&L
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?
No · entry 51%, now 76% · ends Nov 11, 2026
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 36%, now 50% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 8%, now 1% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
Yes · entry 29%, now 14% · ends Feb 28, 2027
Recent trades
Bought No at 65%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
Sold Yes at 32%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 31%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 13%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Sold Yes at 71%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 71%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 71%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 66%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 6%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?
Bought No at 10%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 10%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 10%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Sold Yes at 49%
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?
Sold Yes at 34%
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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