
DonationsReceiver
0x8476…5418 · Joined July 14, 2025
DonationsReceiver has made $48K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,783 all time by profit, with 8.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$48K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 8.4M
- Portfolio value
- $55K
- Profit this month
- −$7,327
- Win rate (last 187 closed)
- 41%
How DonationsReceiver has traded
Across the 187 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 76 (41%) ended in profit and 111 in a loss, for −$2,868 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 39%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 108 of the 187 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $55K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?” (Yes) at 36% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$74K

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$45K

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$40K

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$40K

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$39K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$14K

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$11K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$7,945

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 30, 2026
+$7,507

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$5,576
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$45K

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$40K

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$39K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 53% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$22K

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$20K

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$20K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$13K

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$11K

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 30, 2026
−$7,478

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 99% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$4,436
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 20%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$16K P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,917
+$52 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 86%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,673
+$618 P&L

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,333
−$17 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 77%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,219
−$80 P&L

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,025
+$65 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 48%, now 36% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,324
−$445 P&L

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$999
+$39 P&L

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Yes · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$952
+$37 P&L

NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 19%, now 7% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$861
−$1,647 P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 12%, now 13% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$697
+$8 P&L

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 9%, now 11% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$628
+$122 P&L

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 10%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$520
−$42 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 4%, now 16% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$157
+$116 P&L

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 0.2%, now 0.1% · ended Apr 19, 2027
$51
−$33 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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