llh is down $74K in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 10, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$74K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.4M
- Portfolio value
- $402K
- Profit this month
- +$5,529
- Win rate (last 66 closed)
- 92%
How llh has traded
Across all 66 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 61 (92%) ended in profit and 5 in a loss, for +$5,776 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 88%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $402K together, the biggest is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” (No) at 79% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 61% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$11K
Netanyahu out by April 30?
No · entry 50% · closed May 5, 2026
+$11K
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 50% · closed May 7, 2026
+$5,000
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$1,493
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 12, 2026
+$641
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$365
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Tundra Esports · entry 62% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$329
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$321
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$171
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$162
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Yes · entry 41% · closed May 5, 2026
−$11K
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$10K
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$4,889
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 97% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$199
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Mar 3, 2026
−$60
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 66%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$317K
+$103K P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 88%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$70K
+$5,735 P&L
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$97 P&L
US x China Military clash before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,322
+$122 P&L
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,145
−$2 P&L
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$256
+$28 P&L
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$196
+$1 P&L
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 90%, now 99% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$137
+$12 P&L
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 86% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Oct 1, 2027
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 88%, now 98% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 50%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7
−$162 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 85%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 83%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 95%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Bought No at 98%
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Bought No at 97%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Bought No at 98%
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 88%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 90%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Bought No at 97%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 97%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 97%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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