puravida has made $40K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,392 all time by profit, with 8.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$40K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 8.7M
- Portfolio value
- $61K
- Profit this month
- +$3,618
- Win rate (last 194 closed)
- 61%
How puravida has traded
Across the 194 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 119 (61%) ended in profit and 75 in a loss, for −$1,020 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 83 of the 194 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $46K together, the biggest is “Another Fed rate hike in 2026?” (Yes) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
No · entry 22% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$6,771
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$5,940
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$4,472
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$4,284
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 29% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$3,693
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Dec 11, 2025
+$3,048
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Dec 3, 2025
+$2,717
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2,711
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2,681
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Dec 19, 2024
+$2,384
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$6,973
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$5,938
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$3,720
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Nov 14, 2024
−$3,547
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
No · entry 48% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$3,519
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 56% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$3,332
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$2,951
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
No · entry 85% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$2,239
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
No · entry 73% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$2,185
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 29, 2025
−$2,142
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 77%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,627
−$125 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 74%, now 90% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,300
+$1,095 P&L
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,956
+$943 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 7%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,774
−$46 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 88%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,681
+$389 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 66%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,274
−$17 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
No · entry 71%, now 99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,273
+$629 P&L
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes · entry 78%, now 73% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,261
−$171 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
No · entry 80%, now 98% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,198
+$398 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 77%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,853
+$382 P&L
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 66%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,751
+$230 P&L
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No · entry 39%, now 26% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,652
−$878 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 78%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$961
+$142 P&L
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
No · entry 76%, now 95% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$951
+$193 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
No · entry 71%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$920
+$269 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 64%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 77%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Sold Yes at 9%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought Yes at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought No at 66%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
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