Lisbon has made $10K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #14,940 all time by profit, with 3.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$10K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.8M
- Portfolio value
- $70K
- Profit this month
- +$269
- Win rate (last 192 closed)
- 90%
How Lisbon has traded
Across the 192 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 173 (90%) ended in profit and 19 in a loss, for −$334 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 93%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $70K together, the biggest is “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 42% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$2,410
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$2,331
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$2,160
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Sep 24, 2026
+$848
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 3, 2026
+$692
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
No · entry 98% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$627
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
No · entry 97% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$579
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$506
Xi Jinping out before October?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 1, 2025
+$476
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50% · closed Aug 13, 2025
+$471
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 2, 2026
−$2,462
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 13, 2026
−$2,180
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 11, 2026
−$2,163
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 2, 2026
−$1,962
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Apr 2, 2026
−$1,280
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 20, 2026
−$1,200
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$1,114
Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$933
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$854
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
No · entry 99% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$792
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 87% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
+$13K P&L
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$57 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?
Yes · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,847
+$347 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,575
+$75 P&L
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 13% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,232
−$13K P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,797
−$18 P&L
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,777
−$15 P&L
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
No · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,598
+$204 P&L
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,093
+$15 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$998
−$2 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?
Yes · entry 82%, now 85% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$843
+$34 P&L
Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$590
+$3 P&L
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?
No · entry 79%, now 84% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$507
+$30 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Yes · entry 62%, now 61% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$454
−$9 P&L
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$350
+$18 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Bought No at 93%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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