horatio has made $16K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #9,727 all time by profit, with 2.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 16, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.9M
- Portfolio value
- $5,900
- Profit this month
- −$1,678
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 84%
How horatio has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 166 (84%) ended in profit and 32 in a loss, for +$44K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 58%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $5,330 together, the biggest is “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?” (No) at 18% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Ravens vs. Bills
Bills · entry 47% · closed Jan 20, 2025
+$11K
Commanders vs. Lions
Commanders · entry 19% · closed Jan 20, 2025
+$8,773
Chargers vs. Texans
Texans · entry 31% · closed Jan 12, 2025
+$7,632
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
No · entry 35% · closed Dec 28, 2024
+$6,303
Will Berachain launch in 2024?
No · entry 47% · closed Jan 1, 2025
+$5,953
Michigan vs. Maryland
Michigan · entry 37% · closed Apr 1, 2025
+$4,347
Will Milton make landfall as a category 3?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Oct 10, 2024
+$4,275
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Aug 11, 2024
+$3,983
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
No · entry 69% · closed Nov 1, 2025
+$3,124
Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?
No · entry 66% · closed Jul 19, 2024
+$3,016
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Clemson vs. Louisville
Clemson · entry 57% · closed Apr 1, 2025
−$13K
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Apr 12, 2025
−$9,775
Ohio State vs. Texas
Texas · entry 30% · closed Jan 12, 2025
−$9,562
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
No · entry 64% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$6,454
Will threadguy interview Trump before October?
No · entry 87% · closed Sep 24, 2024
−$6,339
Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?
No · entry 73% · closed Mar 4, 2025
−$5,055
Ole Miss vs. Michigan State
Ole Miss · entry 37% · closed Apr 1, 2025
−$3,700
Lions vs. 49ers
49ers · entry 34% · closed Jan 1, 2025
−$3,400
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
No · entry 74% · closed Mar 1, 2025
−$3,301
Pump.fun disables livestreaming by Friday?
No · entry 79% · closed Dec 2, 2024
−$3,114
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No · entry 62%, now 41% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$972
−$513 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No · entry 75%, now 74% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$956
−$16 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
No · entry 21%, now 8% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$726
−$1,221 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 25%, now 17% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$458
−$236 P&L
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?
No · entry 64%, now 58% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$319
−$34 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No · entry 50%, now 22% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$301
−$402 P&L
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$297
+$78 P&L
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.01 before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$195
+$24 P&L
Ben Pasternak jailed?
No · entry 37%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$194
+$122 P&L
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 11%, now 6% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$193
−$193 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$161
+$3 P&L
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?
No · entry 39%, now 36% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$161
−$15 P&L
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$151
−$1 P&L
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 31%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$145
−$169 P&L
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 12% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$101
−$23 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 21%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 0.7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?
Bought No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 25%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 25%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 25%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 25%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 25%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 12%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Sold No at 53%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Sold No at 54%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 11%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Bought No at 20%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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