
Car has made $1.5M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #113 all time by profit, with 188M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1.5M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 188M
- Portfolio value
- $818K
- Profit this month
- +$4,518
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 61%
How Car has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 120 (61%) ended in profit and 76 in a loss, for +$61K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $553K together, the biggest is “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?” (Yes) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$79K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$37K

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Mar 28, 2026
+$33K

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Jul 9, 2025
+$32K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.5% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$32K

Maduro out in 2025?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$31K

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Kennesaw State Owls · entry 2% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$29K

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Oct 9, 2025
+$28K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 0.1% · closed May 9, 2026
+$25K

Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Penn Quakers · entry 1% · closed Mar 22, 2026
+$24K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Nov 13, 2025
−$41K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 11% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$34K

US military action against Iran by Saturday?
No · entry 91% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$32K

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Jul 31, 2025
−$29K

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Gonzaga Bulldogs · entry 98% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$29K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 9, 2026
−$26K

Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini · entry >99% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$24K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$21K

Maduro out in 2025?
No · entry 93% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$18K

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
No · entry 81% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$18K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$145K
+$91 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$115K
+$43K P&L

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$58K
−$1,349 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$40K
−$1,195 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
−$43K P&L

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$129 P&L

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No · entry 76%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2030
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$29 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$109 P&L

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
−$15 P&L

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No · entry 80%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2030
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$85 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$142 P&L

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$103 P&L

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 78%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$2,294 P&L

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No · entry 84%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$78 P&L

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$218 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 86%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 85%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 86%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 86%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 97%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Bought Yes at 97%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Sold Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 97%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.