fElon has made $9,913 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #15,205 all time by profit, with 4.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$9,913
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.0M
- Portfolio value
- $15K
- Profit this month
- +$546
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 89%
How fElon has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 173 (89%) ended in profit and 22 in a loss, for +$4,940 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 76%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “Kash Patel out by December 31?” (Yes) at 27% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 68% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$1,981
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 17% · closed May 19, 2025
+$1,363
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 2% · closed May 19, 2025
+$1,343
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 16% · closed Sep 27, 2026
+$1,111
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Oct 10, 2026
+$994
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$936
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 25% · closed May 19, 2025
+$931
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 2% · closed May 19, 2025
+$772
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed May 1, 2026
+$633
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
No · entry 29% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$621
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 46% · closed Oct 10, 2026
−$3,079
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 15, 2025
−$2,711
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$2,426
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$2,016
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$1,522
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?
No · entry 40% · closed Jul 13, 2025
−$1,385
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Feb 13, 2025
−$998
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
No · entry 21% · closed Feb 24, 2025
−$880
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?
No · entry 93% · closed Nov 24, 2025
−$699
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?
No · entry 71% · closed Mar 22, 2025
−$607
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes · entry 27%, now 21% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,155
−$1,320 P&L
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,138
+$174 P&L
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,738
+$289 P&L
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 53%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$972
+$422 P&L
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 36%, now 74% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$577
+$298 P&L
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$533
+$16 P&L
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 78% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$507
−$55 P&L
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$489
+$10 P&L
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$441
+$40 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 70%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$378
+$96 P&L
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 78%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$370
+$66 P&L
Kash Patel out by October 31?
No · entry 92%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$339
+$22 P&L
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 74% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$264
+$85 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 42%, now 36% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$246
−$48 P&L
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No · entry 41%, now 23% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$154
−$117 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 20%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 56%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 56%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 44%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 90%
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Bought Yes at 90%
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Bought Yes at 20%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Sold Yes at 20%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought Yes at 20%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought Yes at 18%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought Yes at 15%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought Yes at 16%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought Yes at 17%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought Yes at 18%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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