
HorribleWork
0x7804…7025 · Joined October 20, 2024
HorribleWork is down $411K in realized results on Polymarket, with 28M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$411K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 28M
- Portfolio value
- $43K
- Profit this month
- +$18K
- Win rate (last 193 closed)
- 85%
How HorribleWork has traded
Across the 193 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 165 (85%) ended in profit and 28 in a loss, for +$395K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 79%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $43K together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 52% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$224K

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$86K

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Justin Gaethje · entry 21% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$79K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$55K

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jul 9, 2026
+$54K

Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$49K

US government shutdown Saturday?
No · entry 4% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$35K

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Sean Strickland · entry 73% · closed May 10, 2026
+$29K

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jun 25, 2026
+$27K

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?
No · entry 32% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$24K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$127K

Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$118K

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$51K

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$41K

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Jan 23, 2026
−$34K

US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Feb 4, 2026
−$34K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$32K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 28, 2026
−$32K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jul 28, 2026
−$32K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 87% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$31K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 86%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$1,763 P&L

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes · entry 23%, now 26% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,192
+$518 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 33%, now 40% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,183
+$564 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes · entry 9%, now 8% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,165
−$556 P&L

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes · entry 26%, now 26% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,482
−$13 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No · entry 33%, now 35% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,288
+$56 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 40%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,234
−$118 P&L

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,102
+$18 P&L

Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
No · entry 69%, now 52% · ends Nov 15, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$852
−$283 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 39%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$805
−$55 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 29%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$785
−$107 P&L

Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Yes · entry 54%, now 52% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$504
−$23 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 8%, now 8% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$480
−$32 P&L

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 79%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$220
−$7 P&L

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102
+$14 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 84%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

Bought Yes at 9%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?

Bought Yes at 84%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

Bought Yes at 22%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Bought No at 95%
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?

Bought Yes at 22%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Bought Yes at 10%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Bought Yes at 18%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

Bought Yes at 23%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Bought Yes at 64%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Bought Yes at 23%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Bought No at 53%
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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