plumbis has made $55K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,366 all time by profit, with 3.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$55K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.8M
- Portfolio value
- $383K
- Profit this month
- +$1,272
- Win rate (last 139 closed)
- 64%
How plumbis has traded
Across all 139 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 89 (64%) ended in profit and 50 in a loss, for +$45K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 66%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 106 of the 139 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $379K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 65% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$19K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$10K
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No · entry 95% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$7,227
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$4,829
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$4,149
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83% · closed Aug 25, 2026
+$2,210
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$1,539
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 37% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$1,260
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?
No · entry 78% · closed Aug 10, 2026
+$1,242
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 96% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$969
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$5,019
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Sep 11, 2026
−$2,312
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$1,316
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$1,286
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 33% · closed Oct 6, 2026
−$868
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$733
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$663
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$654
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$546
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$464
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$247K
+$2,103 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$30K
−$165 P&L
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
−$380 P&L
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 75%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$1,574 P&L
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No · entry 89%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$255 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$907 P&L
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 76%, now 75% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$9,685
−$168 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,350
−$50 P&L
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 56%, now 53% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$6,942
−$388 P&L
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 73%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,490
+$30 P&L
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Yes · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,350
+$13 P&L
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 6%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$995
+$757 P&L
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
Yes · entry 86%, now 95% · ended Oct 3, 2026
$765
+$76 P&L
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
No · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$676
+$6 P&L
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 72% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$670
+$105 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 94%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought No at 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought No at 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought No at 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought No at 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Bought No at 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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