gelugon has made $4,765 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #26,854 all time by profit, with 224K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$4,765
- All-time volume (shares)
- 224K
- Portfolio value
- $1,759
- Profit this month
- +$1,715
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 64%
How gelugon has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 127 (64%) ended in profit and 70 in a loss, for +$4,177 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,759 together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$1,160
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$1,024
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Aug 25, 2026
+$439
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$400
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$385
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$305
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Apr 5, 2026
+$289
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Dec 8, 2025
+$184
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 51% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$183
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
No · entry 76% · closed Mar 10, 2026
+$147
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 67% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$578
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$557
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$281
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
No · entry 74% · closed Dec 28, 2025
−$263
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
No · entry 86% · closed Dec 24, 2025
−$226
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
No · entry 54% · closed Jan 19, 2026
−$122
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Dec 21, 2025
−$111
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$107
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$98
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 16% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$97
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 71%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,759
+$60 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 85%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 14%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 16%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 60%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold Yes at 75%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Bought No at 71%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought No at 71%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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