Theonlyone has made $595 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #106,490 all time by profit, with 1.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$595
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.8M
- Portfolio value
- $201
- Profit this month
- +$6
- Win rate (last 45 closed)
- 64%
How Theonlyone has traded
Across all 45 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 29 (64%) ended in profit and 16 in a loss, for +$595 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 77%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $201 together, the biggest is “Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?” (No) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$20K
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No · entry 50% · closed Aug 2, 2026
+$20K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Aug 6, 2026
+$16K
Iran leadership change by August 31?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$14K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 50% · closed Jul 16, 2026
+$12K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
No · entry 96% · closed Jul 11, 2026
+$9,057
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$8,322
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No · entry 99% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$145
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$124
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$53
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Aug 2, 2026
−$20K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$19K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No · entry 96% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$16K
Iran leadership change by August 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$14K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 16, 2026
−$12K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$8,645
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 11, 2026
−$8,422
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Jul 8, 2026
−$128
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 46% · closed Dec 13, 2024
−$92
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
No · entry 20% · closed Aug 16, 2024
−$72
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
No · entry 76%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 90%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 97%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 98%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Bought No at 76%
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
$31
Sold Yes at 10%
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$33
Bought No at 97%
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$17
Bought No at 98%
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
$30
Bought Yes at 9%
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$30
Bought No at 90%
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
$30
Bought No at 98%
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$30
Bought No at 97%
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
$30
Bought No at 93%
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
$30
Sold Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
$30
Sold Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
$12
Sold Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
$12
Sold Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
$20
Sold Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
$0
Sold Yes at 7%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
$3
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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