ApeCap is down $39K in realized results on Polymarket, with 604K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 19, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$39K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 604K
- Portfolio value
- $21
- Profit this month
- −$47
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 64%
How ApeCap has traded
Across all 197 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 127 (64%) ended in profit and 70 in a loss, for −$31K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 126 of the 197 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $21 together, the biggest is “France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?” (Yes) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Dec 22, 2024
+$1,377
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Alaska · entry 41% · closed Dec 1, 2024
+$1,344
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
Joshua · entry 87% · closed Dec 20, 2025
+$1,326
PA-10 election: Stelson (D) vs. Perry (R)
Perry · entry 50% · closed Nov 8, 2024
+$803
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Demoor · entry 11% · closed Jan 18, 2026
+$626
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
No · entry 78% · closed May 1, 2025
+$585
Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Nov 29, 2024
+$565
Will Solana reach $190 in May?
Yes · entry 59% · closed May 14, 2025
+$560
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
No · entry 63% · closed Nov 23, 2025
+$540
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Dec 22, 2024
+$540
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
No · entry 86% · closed Dec 12, 2024
−$20K
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Nov 12, 2024
−$3,497
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
No · entry 27% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$3,435
Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?
No · entry 65% · closed Nov 20, 2024
−$3,242
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
No · entry 35% · closed Nov 20, 2024
−$2,612
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 61% · closed Nov 11, 2024
−$2,127
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$1,638
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
No · entry 46% · closed Nov 25, 2025
−$1,592
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Yes · entry 98% · closed May 18, 2026
−$946
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$893
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 14%, now 1% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21
−$217 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
$304
Bought Yes at 98%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
$2,634
Sold No at 97%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
$5,062
Bought Yes at 94%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
$4,701
Sold No at 97%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
$1,974
Sold Yes at 18%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$549
Sold Yes at 18%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$163
Sold Yes at 18%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$5
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.