Stonktrader has made $97K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,007 all time by profit, with 2.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$97K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.9M
- Portfolio value
- $100K
- Profit this month
- +$66K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 93%
How Stonktrader has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 185 (93%) ended in profit and 14 in a loss, for +$95K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 78%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $69K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House” (Yes) at 37% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
Yes · entry 28% · closed May 18, 2026
+$1.4M
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Up · entry 48% · closed Oct 8, 2026
+$47K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$17K
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$7,321
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed May 6, 2026
+$6,062
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$4,925
Spread: Texas State (-2.5)
Texas State · entry 53% · closed Sep 19, 2026
+$4,700
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$4,575
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic · entry 61% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$3,928
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 81% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2,880
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$5,492
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
No · entry 28% · closed May 16, 2026
−$1,659
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$754
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Aug 3, 2026
−$691
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
No · entry 77% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$419
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Yes · entry 12% · closed May 5, 2026
−$286
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No · entry 63% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$224
Set 2 Winner: Maria/Sonmez vs Danilina/Krunic
Maria/Sonmez · entry 63% · closed Sep 6, 2026
−$187
Will Jason Kelce be a groomsman at Taylor Swift's wedding?
No · entry 9% · closed Jul 4, 2026
−$137
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$120
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 29%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
−$3,500 P&L
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
Yes · entry 82%, now 95% · ends Nov 7, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,214
+$1,118 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 59%, now 56% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,495
−$216 P&L
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?
No · entry 86%, now 98% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,615
+$584 P&L
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 78%, now 90% · ends Jan 21, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,400
+$551 P&L
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
Yes · entry 80%, now 89% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,617
+$252 P&L
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No · entry 80%, now 96% · ends Mar 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,396
+$412 P&L
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?
No · entry 69%, now 88% · ends Dec 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,327
+$494 P&L
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
No · entry 52%, now 64% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,210
+$398 P&L
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?
No · entry 80%, now 82% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,199
+$45 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 66%, now 64% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,162
−$101 P&L
Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
No · entry 67%, now 57% · ends Dec 12, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,815
−$312 P&L
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
No · entry 25%, now 51% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,538
+$785 P&L
Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No · entry 47%, now 76% · ends Jan 27, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,528
+$584 P&L
Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,518
+$92 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 94%
Ethereum above 2,330 on October 25, 8PM ET?
Bought Yes at >99%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 79%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?
Bought No at 43%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?
Bought No at 10%
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold No at 97%
Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
Bought No at 75%
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?
Bought Yes at 73%
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 1%
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought No at 83%
Halle Berry as Storm?
Bought Yes at 74%
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought No at 80%
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 59%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 66%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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